Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Glacier Romney Reaches the Tipping Point

It's just 28 days to the election. An avalanche of new poll data shows Mitt Romney leading by .7% in the RCP average, on the strength of new polls from Pew (+4%), Gallup (+2%), IBD/TIPP (+2%) and Rasmussen (tie). Rasmussen is the Republican pollster.

But President Obama doesn't have 28 days to retake the lost ground, he has exactly 13 days between now and the last Presidential debate on October 22. That debate will be on foreign policy. Tonight CNN is reporting that there was no protest outside the U.S. Consulate in Benghazi on the night our Ambassador to Libya was killed there. That going to be tough to answer, as the Obama Administration blamed the deaths on demonstrations against an inflammatory film in its initial public statements.

Before that comes the VP debate on Thursday night, a no-win situation for the Obama campaign. If Joe Biden loses, the avalanche continues. If he wins, that raises the question of whether President Obama is a worse debater than Joe Biden. It's hard to see how Obama doesn't get snowed in Thursday.

Update: The Huffington Post now has the election as a tie at 46.8% each.

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