Tuesday, June 12, 2012

"Go Ahead, Keep Waiting" Is Order of the Day

"Go ahead, keep waiting" was the subject of an email I received today from my friend Julianna. We're on a first name email basis, Julianna and I, so I think I may take her advice. She got right to the point:
If you've been waiting to get invested in President Obama's campaign, you should know that Mitt Romney and the corporate interests and right-wing ideologues backing him want you to keep waiting.

They're counting on you to be tuned out for as long as possible -- until it's too late to make up the ground lost this summer without you.

Then they'll tune you out when President Romney is in the White House.

They're not running the kind of campaign that depends on ordinary people wanting a say in the political process.
Julianna Smoot is the Deputy Campaign Manager of Obama for America and she believes Obama stands for something different when it comes to ordinary people.
President Obama is -- and you could literally have his ear at an upcoming dinner with you and a few other guests.

Pitch in $135 or more now, and you'll be automatically entered for that chance:

https://donate.barackobama.com/Your-Dinner-with-Barack

The President's been hosting these dinners with supporters like you for the last year or so because they're what this entire campaign comes down to: ordinary Americans having conversations about where we've been and where we need to go.

No corporations in the room. Just people.

Don't pass up your chance to be at the next one.
Now that's awfully nice of my friend Julianna, if I just pitch in $135 I can enter a raffle to have dinner with President Obama. How did Julianna come up with the magic number of $135, you might ask? Well, you simply have to read the fine print.
The first $5,000 of a contribution to OVF 2012 will be allocated to Obama for America (with the first $2,500 designated for the primary election, and the next $2,500 for the general election). The next $30,800 of a contribution will be allocated to the Democratic National Committee. Any additional amounts from a contributor will be divided among the State Democratic Party Committees as follows, up to $10,000 per committee and subject to the biennial aggregate limits: FL (17%); OH (16%); PA (13%); CO (11%); NC (11%); VA (11%); NV (6%); WI (6%); IA (5%); and NH (4%). A contributor may designate his or her contribution for a particular participant. The allocation formula above may change if following it would result in an excessive contribution. Contributions will be used in connection with a Federal election.
Let me add that up for you, $5,000 to Obama for America, $30,800 to the DNC, and $10,000 to each of 10 state committees, that's $135,800 for the big donors who the maximum. The $135 raffle tickets Juliana is selling are just .1% of that and appear to provide ordinary people the same chance to meet the President over dinner. But why do I think that if gave $135,8000 my chances of having dinner with the President would go up to something like 100%?

Now, if someone who gives $135,800 has a 100% chance of winning, what chance of winning does someone who gives $135 have? Fairness might dictate a .1% chance, which is one chance in a thousand, pretty good odds. My friend Julianna is somewhat vague on that:
Odds of winning depend on number of entries received.
But there can only be 3 winners in this raffle and Julianna undoubtedly hopes for somewhat more than 3,000 entrants so that means the odds will likely be a lot less than one in a thousand, not very good odds at all when you think about it.

That, in a nutshell, is the real problem with money in politics. It's not merely that the people who give the big money get extra access and influence in proportion to the money they have given. It's that they get access and influence that is out of proportion to their money.

Julianna knows this and likely her husband of 8 months Lon Johnson knows this too. At the time of their marriage last October, Lon is a vice president with TVV Capital, a private equity firm. Mitt Romney made his money in private equity.

Julianna worked for a year as White House social secretary, deciding who comes to state dinners, sleeps in the Lincoln bedroom, and distributing other social perks not available to ordinary people. Julianna also had the extraordinary honor of being on the witness list in the recent trial of John Edwards.

I would just love to sit down for dinner with Julianna, Lon, and Barack and ask her what she knew and when about John Edwards's affair. Then ask Barack just how close he came to selecting John as his VP running mate. And ask Lon what he thought about being an evil corporate interest. Because it sounds to me like the honeymoon is over.

By the way, according to the Official Rules of the Dinner with Barack V Sweepstakes, you can enter the raffle without paying the $135. I like free.

Friday, June 8, 2012

CNN's Piers Morgan Lays It Down for Debbie Wasserman Schultz



On Wisconsin: "You keep calling him this great extremist who everyone apparently is terrified of and everything else, but the reality is he won. He won pretty convincingly."

Wednesday, June 6, 2012

The Incredible Shrinking Democratic Party

The Democratic Party is shrinking.

The news from Wisconsin is that the voters chose to recall the Occupy-style union protests rather than Republican Governor Scott Walker. The headline in the Boston Globe is "Walker survives recall election in Wisconsin." Survived? Walker got 15% more votes than when he was elected in 2010. The real question is whether the Democratic Party has survived and how it can recover in time for the Presidential election this fall.

Look at the results in Wisconsin in the 2012 Presidential race and the Governor Walker recall election in 2012.

Party President 2008   Governor 2012 Shrink
Republican McCain 1,262,393   Walker 1,334,450 -72,057
Democratic Obama 1,677,211   Barrett 1,162,785 514,426

Now it is certainly true that turnout is often lower in non-Presidential years and in special elections. However, it is also apparent that every Wisconsinite who voted for John McCain in 2012 voted for Scott Walker in 2012, plus 72,000 (negative shrinkage there). But what about Democratic voters? Over 500,000 Wisconsinites who voted for Barack Obama in 2008 were missing in the 2012 recall election. That would have been more than enough to turn out Scott Walker and put in the Democratic candidate Tom Barrett.

Where did those half million Obama voters go? How many will be back in the fall? Wisconsin is one of 50 states. Just how many Obama voters will go missing nationally?

Monday, June 4, 2012

My Evergreens Keep Bringing Me Traffic

I've been looking at my blog traffic stats. Most posts bloom once if I'm lucky and after that are almost never read again. Weiner Holder for President and Vice President got big hits being linked by The Blaze and I've had two posts, What Is This 3 Inch Long Green Bug? and Out of Town Nudes in Harvard Square, get big spikes from Universal Hub.

But I have 5 posts (actually 3 are monthly archive pages) that I call my Evergreens. They bring in a small but steady stream of traffic week in and week out.

John Stamos to Star with Olsen Twins in Two and a Half Women not that Hollywood listens but I would watch this show.

May 2009 includes two of my favorite posts Flying the Black Flag and Waterboarding Nancy Pelosi.

March 2011 has another personal favorite Donald Trump Birth Certificate Proves He Was Born in Jamaica.

The Nikki Haley Story: Some Lies Don't Tell So Well gets hits every time South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley is in the news.

May 2010 contains Left Bank of the Charles Is Not Banksy just in case you were wondering and Girl Fight in Harvard Square if that's you sort of thing.

Speaking of that, here is Girl Fight from my YouTube Channel.


The #1 video on my YouTube Channel and my #1 Evergreen is

Sunday, June 3, 2012

A Trip to the Car Wash Brings One Week of Rain


Last weekend I washed my Jeep for the first time in a long time so of course it's rained all this weekend and is forecast to rain all next week.

Saturday, June 2, 2012

Ambush of Foreign Words at National Spelling Bee



Fourteen-year-old Snigdha Nandipat eluded the guetapens laid by the canities at the Scripps National Spelling Bee as one challenger lost himself in the high vetiver, another came in one Heath bar short of an ericeticolous ending, and the final challenger fell to insufficient schwarmerei for the geistlich unabridged dictionaries that grow like schwannoma on this annual porwigle ridotto.

Round Contestant Correct/Incorrect spelling Meaning Language
13 Snigdha Nandipati
San Diego, California
guetapens
guetapens
ambush, snare, trap French
12 Stuti Mishra
West Melbourne, Florida
schwarmerei
schwermerei
unwholesome obsession German
10 Arvind Mahankali
Bayside Hills, New York
schwannoma
schvonoma
a specific cancer tumor German
9 Gifton Wright
Spanish Town, Jamaica
ericeticolous
erosoticolous
living in a heath habitat Latin
9 Nicholas Rushlow
Pickerington, Ohio
vetiver
vetover
an Indian grass or its root French from Tamil
9 Lena Greenberg
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
geistlich
geistleich
religious, spiritual, sacred German
8 Frank Cahill
Parker, Colorado
porwigle
porwiggle
tadpole, pollywog Middle English
7 Jordan Hoffman
Lee's Summit, Missouri
canities
conities
graying or whitening of hair Latin
7 Emma Ciereszynski
Dover, New Hampshire
ridotto
redatto
retreat, place of entertainment Italian

To force the kids to compete on putatively English words gleaned from foreign and medical dictionaries seems pointless. It seems to me you want your National Spelling Bee champion to win on a good old American word, like incisor (1975) or narcolepsy (1976). In recent years, the contest has been buried alive in an endless stream of obscure words, a vivisepulture (1996) of logorrhea (1999).

I'd be hard pressed to tell you what any of these winning words from 2001-2011 mean without looking them up: succedaneum, prospicience, pococurante, autochthonous, appoggiatura, Ursprache, serrefine, guerdon, Laodicean, stromuhr, and cymotrichous.

If the idea is to introduce American kids to a better appreciation of foreign culture, I'd suggest that next year they simply have the contestants spell each other's names.

It's fun to watch the kids take on the supposed spelling masters, the adults rolling words they've likely never seen before in practiced sentences designed to make the master seem clever. And when the kids ask for the language of derivation, you can tell they don't always buy the pretense that the word has become English.

Friday, June 1, 2012

What's So Wrong with a Little Hazing?


If only Mitt Romney would bully Donald Trump. Hat tip to Political Humor About.com.